1 new qualified setup today.

Latest completed screening run: 2026-08-19

New setups

NKE

Bearish put setupQualified research signal

The rules detected a bearish continuation setup in NKE.

Candidate contract: September 18, 2026 $42.5 Put

Why it appeared

Price is below its 20- and 50-day trend averages
Trading volume is 2.8× its normal level
RSI is 36, inside the permitted bearish range (25–55)
The day's move agrees with the trend direction
No earnings are scheduled inside the 30-day exclusion window
Contract liquidity passed the configured requirements (open interest ≥ 500, volume ≥ 50, spread ≤ 6% of mid, as reported by the data provider)

What this means

A bearish continuation setup means the stock has been trading below its trend averages and showed unusually high activity in the same direction. The screener flags the pattern; it does not predict that the stock will keep falling.

What would invalidate it

The trend structure that admitted it stops holding (checked nightly)
The contract's marked value first closes 50% or more below entry
The contract reaches 7 days to expiry (the evaluation time stop)

NKE price, volume, RSI and contract history chart

Evidence level: Not yet established

Probability not yet estimated — insufficient forward-tested evidence.

Research signal, not a recommendation to trade.

Show technical details

contract	dte	delta	bid	ask	spread	open int	volume	rsi	score
NKE260918P00042500	30	-0.60	$2.54	$2.55	0.39%	8056	203	35.68	67.2

Quote source: Alpaca indicative options feed. These are not direct OPRA NBBO quotes and may not represent executable market prices. The score orders qualifying contracts; it is not a probability.

Open setups

Theses the system is still tracking, marked nightly. A marked value is not an outcome until the thesis closes.

symbol	setup	since	contracts	marked (mid)	status
ANET	Bullish call setup	2026-08-07	3	-46.64%	Still qualifies
NKE	Bearish put setup	2026-08-19	1	+0.00%	Still qualifies
TLT	Bearish put setup	2026-08-03	2	-60.33%	First crossed the predefined loss threshold
TLT	Bearish put setup	2026-08-04	5	-39.77%	Still qualifies

Watchlist

Shown pass or fail against the same rules as every other name — the watchlist gets no easier bar.

symbol	result	main reason
MSFT	Did not pass	The day's move disagreed with the trend Details direction: bull · day move: -3.04% · RSI: 62.19 · volume: 0.7862× · earnings: clear · next earnings: 2026-10-27
GOOGL	Did not pass	Volume is 0.6× normal; the rules require 2.0× Details direction: bear · day move: -0.55% · RSI: 46.03 · volume: 0.5874× · earnings: clear · next earnings: 2026-10-27
SPY	Did not pass	The day's move disagreed with the trend Details direction: bull · day move: -0.47% · RSI: 61.78 · volume: 0.7329× · earnings: unknown
TSLA	Did not pass	No clean trend structure (price vs its 20/50-day averages) Details direction: - · day move: -0.87% · RSI: 47.44 · volume: 0.6562× · earnings: clear · next earnings: 2026-10-20

Evidence so far

forward-tested theses6

open3

closed3

closed & positive0.0%

median closed (mid)-50.15%

evaluation epoch2026-08-06 →

Minimum evidence threshold reached: No (3 of the required 20 closed Epoch-1 theses). Open theses are marked nightly at -46.64% median so far — open marks are not outcomes and do not establish a win rate. Full detail on the Evidence page.

Probability not yet estimated — insufficient forward-tested evidence.

System status

Latest collection: August 19 at 5:09 PM ET · 302 of 303 symbols received · 1 missing (failed: MU)

Collection detail

rows written: 162,308 · recent collections — 2026-08-19: 301 symbols · 2026-08-18: 301 symbols · 2026-08-17: 301 symbols · 2026-08-14: 302 symbols · 2026-08-13: 301 symbols
run notes: MU: HTTPStatusError: Client error '429 Too Many Requests' for url 'https://data.alpaca.markets/v1beta1/options/snapshots?symbols=MU261002P00560000%2CMU261002P00565000%2CMU261002P00570000%2CMU261002P00575000%2CMU261002P00580000%2CMU261002P00585000%2CMU261002P00590000%2CMU261002P00595000%2CMU261002P00600000%2CMU261002P00605000%2CMU261002P00610000%2CMU261002P00615000%2CMU261002P00620000%2CMU261002P00625000%2CMU261002P00630000%2CMU261002P00635000%2CMU261002P00640000%2CMU261002P00645000%2CMU261002P00650000%2CMU261002P00655000%2CMU261002P00660000%2CMU261002P00665000%2CMU261002P00670000%2CMU261002P00675000%2CMU261002P00680000%2CMU261002P00685000%2CMU261002P00690000%2CMU261002P00695000%2CMU261002P00700000%2CMU261002P00705000%2CMU261002P00710000%2CMU261002P00715000%2CMU261002P00720000%2CMU261002P00725000%2CMU261002P00730000%2CMU261002P00735000%2CMU261002P00740000%2CMU261002P00745000%2CMU261002P00750000%2CMU261002P00755000%2CMU261002P00760000%2CMU261002P00765000%2CMU261002P00770000%2CMU261002P00775000%2CMU261002P00780000%2CMU261002P00785000%2CMU261002P00790000%2CMU261002P00795000%2CMU261002P00800000%2CMU261002P00805000%2CMU261002P00810000%2CMU261002P00815000%2CMU261002P00820000%2CMU261002P00825000%2CMU261002P00830000%2CMU261002P00835000%2CMU261002P00840000%2CMU261002P00845000%2CMU261002P00850000%2CMU261002P00855000%2CMU261002P00860000%2CMU261002P00865000%2CMU261002P00870000%2CMU261002P00875000%2CMU261002P00880000%2CMU261002P00885000%2CMU261002P00890000%2CMU261002P00895000%2CMU261002P00900000%2CMU261002P00905000%2CMU261002P00910000%2CMU261002P00915000%2CMU261002P00920000%2CMU261002P00925000%2CMU261002P00930000%2CMU261002P00935000%2CMU261002P00940000%2CMU261002P00945000%2CMU261002P00950000%2CMU261002P00955000%2CMU261002P00960000%2CMU261002P00965000%2CMU261002P00970000%2CMU261002P00975000%2CMU261002P00980000%2CMU261002P00985000%2CMU261002P00990000%2CMU261002P00995000%2CMU261002P01000000%2CMU261002P01005000%2CMU261002P01010000%2CMU261002P01015000%2CMU261002P01020000%2CMU261002P01

Research data health

Warning: 28775 contract observations are missing at least one critical quote or Greek field.

Warning: 19 next-session entries could not be modeled (19 missed, 0 unusable).

See every check on the Shadow page.

latest screening run 2026-08-19 · price signals use bars through 2026-08-17 (the configured stock feed lags up to 2 trading days) · Research signal, not a recommendation to trade. This system never trades.