No new qualified setups today.

Latest completed screening run: 2026-08-20

The screening rules ran and admitted nothing new. That is a normal outcome, not an error.

Recent setups — 2026-08-19 (not today)

The most recent date that produced qualified setups was 2026-08-19. Shown for context; these are not new results.

NKE

Bearish put setupQualified research signalfrom 2026-08-19

The rules detected a bearish continuation setup in NKE.

Candidate contract: September 18, 2026 $42.5 Put

Why it appeared

Price is below its 20- and 50-day trend averages
Trading volume is 2.8× its normal level
RSI is 36, inside the permitted bearish range (25–55)
The day's move agrees with the trend direction
No earnings are scheduled inside the 30-day exclusion window
Contract liquidity passed the configured requirements (open interest ≥ 500, volume ≥ 50, spread ≤ 6% of mid, as reported by the data provider)

What this means

A bearish continuation setup means the stock has been trading below its trend averages and showed unusually high activity in the same direction. The screener flags the pattern; it does not predict that the stock will keep falling.

What would invalidate it

The trend structure that admitted it stops holding (checked nightly)
The contract's marked value first closes 50% or more below entry
The contract reaches 7 days to expiry (the evaluation time stop)

NKE price, volume, RSI and contract history chart

Evidence level: Not yet established

Probability not yet estimated — insufficient forward-tested evidence.

Research signal, not a recommendation to trade.

Show technical details

contract	dte	delta	bid	ask	spread	open int	volume	rsi	score
NKE260918P00042500	30	-0.60	$2.54	$2.55	0.39%	8056	203	35.68	67.2

Quote source: Alpaca indicative options feed. These are not direct OPRA NBBO quotes and may not represent executable market prices. The score orders qualifying contracts; it is not a probability.

Open setups

Theses the system is still tracking, marked nightly. A marked value is not an outcome until the thesis closes.

symbol	setup	since	contracts	marked (mid)	status
ANET	Bullish call setup	2026-08-07	2	-51.29%	Still qualifies
NKE	Bearish put setup	2026-08-19	1	+18.86%	Still qualifies
TLT	Bearish put setup	2026-08-04	3	+2.94%	Still qualifies

Watchlist

Shown pass or fail against the same rules as every other name — the watchlist gets no easier bar.

symbol	result	main reason
MSFT	Did not pass	Volume is 0.6× normal; the rules require 2.0× Details direction: bull · day move: +0.27% · RSI: 62.61 · volume: 0.637× · earnings: clear · next earnings: 2026-10-27
GOOGL	Did not pass	The day's move disagreed with the trend Details direction: bear · day move: +0.06% · RSI: 46.16 · volume: 0.623× · earnings: clear · next earnings: 2026-10-27
SPY	Did not pass	The day's move disagreed with the trend Details direction: bull · day move: -0.68% · RSI: 56.61 · volume: 0.9521× · earnings: unknown
TSLA	Did not pass	No clean trend structure (price vs its 20/50-day averages) Details direction: - · day move: -0.72% · RSI: 46.28 · volume: 0.7111× · earnings: clear · next earnings: 2026-10-20

Evidence so far

forward-tested theses6

open3

closed3

closed & positive0.0%

median closed (mid)-50.15%

evaluation epoch2026-08-06 →

Minimum evidence threshold reached: No (3 of the required 20 closed Epoch-1 theses). Open theses are marked nightly at -52.40% median so far — open marks are not outcomes and do not establish a win rate. Full detail on the Evidence page.

Probability not yet estimated — insufficient forward-tested evidence.

System status

Latest collection: August 20 at 5:11 PM ET · 302 of 303 symbols received · 1 missing (failed: MU)

Collection detail

rows written: 170,608 · recent collections — 2026-08-20: 301 symbols · 2026-08-19: 301 symbols · 2026-08-18: 301 symbols · 2026-08-17: 301 symbols · 2026-08-14: 302 symbols
run notes: MU: HTTPStatusError: Client error '429 Too Many Requests' for url 'https://data.alpaca.markets/v1beta1/options/bars?symbols=MU261002P01070000%2CMU261002P01075000%2CMU261002P01080000%2CMU261002P01085000%2CMU261002P01090000%2CMU261002P01095000%2CMU261002P01100000%2CMU261002P01105000%2CMU261002P01110000%2CMU261002P01115000%2CMU261002P01120000%2CMU261002P01125000%2CMU261002P01130000%2CMU261002P01135000%2CMU261002P01140000%2CMU261002P01150000%2CMU261002P01160000%2CMU261002P01170000%2CMU261002P01180000%2CMU261002P01190000%2CMU261002P01200000%2CMU261002P01210000%2CMU261002P01220000%2CMU261002P01230000%2CMU261002P01240000%2CMU261002P01250000%2CMU261002P01260000%2CMU261002P01270000%2CMU261002P01280000%2CMU261002P01290000%2CMU261002P01300000%2CMU261002P01310000%2CMU261002P01320000%2CMU261002P01330000%2CMU261002P01340000%2CMU261002P01350000%2CMU261002P01360000%2CMU261002P01370000%2CMU261002P01380000%2CMU261002P01390000%2CMU261002P01400000%2CMU261002P01410000%2CMU261002P01420000%2CMU261002P01430000%2CMU261002P01440000%2CMU261002P01450000%2CMU261002P01460000%2CMU261002P01470000%2CMU261002P01480000%2CMU261002P01490000%2CMU261002P01500000%2CMU261002P01510000%2CMU261002P01520000%2CMU261002P01530000%2CMU261002P01540000%2CMU261002P01550000%2CMU261002P01560000%2CMU261002P01570000%2CMU261002P01580000%2CMU261002P01590000%2CMU261002P01600000%2CMU261002P01610000%2CMU261002P01620000%2CMU261002P01630000%2CMU261002P01640000%2CMU261002P01650000%2CMU261002P01660000%2CMU261002P01670000%2CMU261002P01680000%2CMU261002P01690000%2CMU261002P01700000%2CMU261002P01710000%2CMU261002P01720000%2CMU261002P01730000%2CMU261016C00005000%2CMU261016C00010000%2CMU261016C00015000%2CMU261016C00020000%2CMU261016C00025000%2CMU261016C00030000%2CMU261016C00035000%2CMU261016C00040000%2CMU261016C00045000%2CMU261016C00050000%2CMU261016C00055000%2CMU261016C00060000%2CMU261016C00185000%2CMU261016C00190000%2CMU261016C00195000%2CMU261016C00200000%2CMU261016C00210000%2CMU261016C00220000%2CMU261016C00230000%2CMU261016C0024000

Research data health

Warning: 34281 contract observations are missing at least one critical quote or Greek field.

Warning: 19 next-session entries could not be modeled (19 missed, 0 unusable).

See every check on the Shadow page.

latest screening run 2026-08-20 · price signals use bars through 2026-08-18 (the configured stock feed lags up to 2 trading days) · Research signal, not a recommendation to trade. This system never trades.